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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.71vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+4.30vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+4.84vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.15+1.96vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.65+2.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+3.21vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.23+2.62vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.83-0.84vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.63-1.03vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.18+0.06vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.62-2.81vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.65-3.73vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+0.27vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.94+0.07vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.84-3.88vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.66-8.03vs Predicted
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17Hampton University0.81-2.25vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.11-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.3Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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5.96Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.91Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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9.21University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
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9.62Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.16Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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7.97George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.06Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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8.19Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.27University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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13.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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14.07Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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11.12Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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7.97University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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14.75Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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13.63University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jack Egan | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Carraway | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Chris Kayda | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Feves | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Edward Cook | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| David Pearce | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 15.5% |
| Matthew King | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 18.5% | 23.4% |
| Sean Tallman | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 31.5% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.