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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+5.66vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.65+6.49vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.63+5.49vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.22+2.02vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+2.94vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+3.58vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.94+7.51vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.84+3.36vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.83-1.53vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.66-1.54vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.65-2.68vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-3.84vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.23-3.28vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.15-7.93vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.11-1.01vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.18-5.79vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-6.20vs Predicted
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18Hampton University0.81-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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8.49George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.02Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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7.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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9.58University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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14.51Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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11.36Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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7.47Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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8.32Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.72Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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6.07Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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13.99University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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10.21Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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14.77Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Feves | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Mariner Fagan | 11.3% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Carraway | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Matthew King | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 18.4% | 31.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 5.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Lukens | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 19.0% | 20.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 2.8% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 17.7% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.