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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.23+9.17vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.22+4.23vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.65+5.48vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+5.41vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12+1.39vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+1.97vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+0.79vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.63+0.21vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.65-0.79vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+0.97vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.18-0.75vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.11+2.27vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.15-6.79vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.94+0.27vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.83-7.51vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.66-7.70vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.84-5.36vs Predicted
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18Hampton University0.81-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.17Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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6.23Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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8.48Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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9.41University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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6.39Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.21George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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10.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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10.25Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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14.27University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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6.21Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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14.27Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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8.3University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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11.64Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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14.74Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Zittrer | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Mariner Fagan | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Jack Egan | 11.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charles Carraway | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Feves | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 17.9% | 25.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 19.0% | 26.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 5.4% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 20.9% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.