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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+8.67vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+4.59vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.71+5.18vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.94+10.30vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+2.83vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.63+2.30vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.18+3.06vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+2.63vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.11+4.99vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.23+0.24vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.65-2.57vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.22-5.57vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.83-5.55vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.66-5.99vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.65-6.77vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.81-1.12vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.84-5.31vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.15-11.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
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6.59Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.710.1%1st Place
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14.3Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.3George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.06Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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10.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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13.99University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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10.24Tulane University2.230.1%1st Place
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8.43Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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6.43Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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7.45Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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8.01University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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8.23University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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14.88Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.69Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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6.11Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kayda | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Jack Egan | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charles Carraway | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew King | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 18.7% | 26.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Feves | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 19.8% | 19.9% |
| Asher Zittrer | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Christian Spencer | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 17.3% | 33.6% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 6.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.