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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+1.85vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.40+0.74vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.59+0.76vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.60-1.25vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.44-0.88vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.73-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5724.6%1st Place
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2.74Georgetown University2.4025.6%1st Place
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3.76Old Dominion University1.599.8%1st Place
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2.75U. S. Naval Academy2.6025.4%1st Place
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4.12George Washington University1.4410.0%1st Place
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4.78Christopher Newport University0.734.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 24.6% | 21.6% | 19.5% | 18.1% | 11.3% | 5.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 25.6% | 23.4% | 21.0% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 3.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 9.8% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 22.1% | 21.9% | 14.9% |
| Nathan Smith | 25.4% | 22.9% | 20.9% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 3.5% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 10.0% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 16.4% | 24.5% | 25.6% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 20.3% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.