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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.22+5.33vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+4.59vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.35+10.59vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.65+4.22vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.63+3.29vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.18+4.15vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04+3.72vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.23+1.97vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.65-0.76vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.66-1.58vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.83-3.32vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-3.84vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-4.85vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.84-2.83vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.15-8.74vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University0.94-1.41vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-7.36vs Predicted
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18Hampton University0.81-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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6.59Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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13.59University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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8.22Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.29George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.15Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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10.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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9.97Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.24University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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11.17Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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6.26Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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14.59Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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9.64University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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14.83Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariner Fagan | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Egan | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 18.1% | 17.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Cameron Feves | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.3% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Will Murray | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 5.4% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew King | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 19.3% | 28.6% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 17.0% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.