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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+5.63vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.65+6.53vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+5.01vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.15+2.28vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.83+2.55vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.63+2.29vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.65+1.29vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.18+2.06vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+0.49vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.84+1.70vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.23-0.83vs Predicted
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12Hampton University0.81+3.18vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.66-4.90vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.04-3.57vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-6.77vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.22-9.83vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.35-3.54vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University0.94-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.28Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.55Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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8.29George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.29Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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10.06Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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9.49University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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11.7Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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10.17Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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15.18Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.1University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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10.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.040.0%1st Place
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8.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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6.17Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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13.46University of Vermont1.350.0%1st Place
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14.41Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Feves | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 6.8% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 38.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Sawin | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Will Murray | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Mariner Fagan | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 20.3% | 14.1% |
| Matthew King | 2.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.