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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.18+9.04vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+4.41vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+3.27vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.65+3.89vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.84+6.06vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.63+2.06vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.66+0.98vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.83-0.76vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+4.47vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-1.72vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.65-2.76vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.94+2.53vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.50-4.53vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-5.04vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-7.45vs Predicted
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16Hampton University0.81-1.26vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.11-3.15vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.62-10.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.04Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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6.41Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.27Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.89University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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11.06Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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8.06George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.98University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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7.24Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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13.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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8.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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8.24Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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14.53Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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8.47Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
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7.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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14.74Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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13.85University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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7.95Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Jack Egan | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 3.8% |
| Cameron Feves | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.6% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| David Pearce | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 15.5% |
| Will Murray | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Matthew King | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 20.8% | 26.1% |
| Thad Lettsome | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Chris Kayda | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 17.9% | 30.5% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 20.2% | 17.1% |
| Edward Cook | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.