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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+5.47vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+5.79vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+3.25vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.63+3.98vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.84+6.09vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.81+8.69vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.83+0.30vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.62+0.01vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.64-1.04vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.94+4.41vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.65-2.83vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.66-3.70vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.50-4.51vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.11-0.52vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-1.55vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-6.68vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.18-6.98vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.65-10.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.25Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.98George Washington University2.630.1%1st Place
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11.09Eckerd College1.840.0%1st Place
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14.69Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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7.3Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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8.01Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.640.1%1st Place
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14.41Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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8.17University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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8.3University of Miami2.660.1%1st Place
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8.49Tulane University2.500.1%1st Place
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13.48University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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13.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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9.32University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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10.02Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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7.83Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 9.1% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Sophia Reineke | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Feves | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Sean Tallman | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.8% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 18.7% | 29.2% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Edward Cook | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Will Murray | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew King | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 27.2% |
| Christian Spencer | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Thad Lettsome | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 16.2% |
| David Pearce | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 15.8% | 16.1% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.