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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.49+5.64vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.31+5.44vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.49+3.86vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.69+2.18vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.77+4.47vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.76+3.91vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+2.05vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.32+3.11vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.07-0.37vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.72-0.29vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.73-1.00vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.04-3.38vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-7.02vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.73-4.04vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.69-5.02vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-7.88vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-0.13-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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7.44Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.86Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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6.18Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.47Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University1.760.0%1st Place
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9.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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11.11University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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8.63University of Rhode Island2.070.0%1st Place
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9.71Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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10.0Salve Regina University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.62Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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5.98Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.96Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.98Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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15.37Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Gridley | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Styron | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Farina | 11.4% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 3.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 15.6% | 8.9% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
| Peter Cronin | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 3.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 3.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 3.4% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 63.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.