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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.49+5.69vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.69+3.97vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.07+5.42vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.76+5.74vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.69+4.79vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.04+2.78vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.99vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.73+1.57vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.77+0.88vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.31-2.56vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-4.97vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-3.95vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.32-1.48vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.72-4.00vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.49-8.16vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.73-6.07vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-0.13-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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5.97Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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9.74Tufts University1.760.0%1st Place
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9.79Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.78Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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8.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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9.57Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.88Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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7.44Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.03Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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11.52University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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10.0Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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6.84Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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9.93Salve Regina University1.730.0%1st Place
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15.37Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Gridley | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Farina | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 2.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.1% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 2.5% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 3.6% |
| Thomas Styron | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 12.9% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 9.7% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 2.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Peter Cronin | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 3.8% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 63.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.