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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.07+7.26vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+5.92vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.69+3.05vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.77+5.74vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.73+4.64vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.69+4.13vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.76+2.74vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.31-0.63vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.18vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.73-0.35vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-4.99vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.49-5.13vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.04-4.26vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.49-7.02vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.72-5.15vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.32-4.52vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-0.13-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.26University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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7.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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6.05Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.74Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
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9.64Salve Regina University1.730.0%1st Place
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10.13Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.74Tufts University1.760.0%1st Place
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7.37Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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9.65Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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6.01Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.87Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.74Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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6.98Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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9.85Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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15.39Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rosenberg | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Farina | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 1.9% |
| Peter Cronin | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 4.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 4.4% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Thomas Styron | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Grant Gridley | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Matt Hersey | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 3.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 8.6% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 64.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.