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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.73+8.56vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.73+7.74vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.07+5.42vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.69+6.03vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+0.79vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.31+1.68vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.49-0.16vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.76+1.51vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.72+1.09vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.69-4.01vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.77-1.18vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.32-0.69vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.04-4.27vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-4.83vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-6.97vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.49-9.08vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-0.13-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.56Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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9.74Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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10.03Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.79Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.68Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.84Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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9.51Tufts University1.760.0%1st Place
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10.09Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
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5.99Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.82Boston College1.770.1%1st Place
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11.31University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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8.73Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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9.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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8.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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6.92Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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15.38Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Cronin | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 3.0% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 3.3% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 12.0% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Styron | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Grant Gridley | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Matt Hersey | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 3.8% |
| Mateo Farina | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 3.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 7.4% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 10.1% | 65.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.