← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+6.83vs Predicted
-
2Boston University1.69+7.84vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.75+2.86vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.04+4.62vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.31+2.35vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.69+0.25vs Predicted
-
7Boston College1.77+2.69vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.49-1.28vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.17vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont1.32+1.30vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University1.76-1.10vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University2.49-5.13vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island2.07-4.42vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University1.73-4.04vs Predicted
-
15Brown University1.73-5.24vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University1.72-6.10vs Predicted
-
17Bentley University-0.13-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
-
9.84Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
-
5.86Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
8.62Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
-
7.35Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
-
6.25Yale University2.690.1%1st Place
-
9.69Boston College1.770.0%1st Place
-
6.72Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
-
9.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
-
11.3University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
-
9.9Tufts University1.760.0%1st Place
-
6.87Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
-
8.58University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
-
9.96Salve Regina University1.730.0%1st Place
-
9.76Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
-
9.9Northeastern University1.720.0%1st Place
-
15.39Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaila Pfrang | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 2.9% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Styron | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Mateo Farina | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 7.0% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 3.8% |
| Grant Gridley | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Peter Cronin | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 3.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 3.1% |
| Matt Hersey | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 4.1% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 65.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.