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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.76vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+0.84vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.40-0.30vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.44+0.12vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.59-1.25vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.73-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76U. S. Naval Academy2.6025.7%1st Place
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2.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5722.8%1st Place
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2.7Georgetown University2.4026.6%1st Place
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4.12George Washington University1.448.6%1st Place
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3.75Old Dominion University1.5911.6%1st Place
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4.83Christopher Newport University0.734.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 25.7% | 22.4% | 20.6% | 17.0% | 10.4% | 3.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 22.8% | 23.5% | 20.2% | 18.1% | 10.9% | 4.5% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 26.6% | 22.7% | 21.6% | 15.7% | 10.2% | 3.3% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 8.6% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 25.5% | 23.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 11.6% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 19.2% | 22.4% | 16.1% |
| Joshua Bendura | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 20.4% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.