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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.63+4.15vs Predicted
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2Harvard University0.93+8.92vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.23+0.56vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.33+5.85vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+1.23vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+2.72vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.05+0.24vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.06-1.06vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.55-0.18vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.61+2.10vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.59-2.27vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-1.81vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.10-6.13vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.08-0.63vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.44-5.61vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.83-8.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.92Harvard University0.930.0%1st Place
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3.56University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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9.85Boston College1.330.0%1st Place
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6.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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8.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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7.24Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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6.94Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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8.82Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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12.1Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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8.73Yale University1.590.1%1st Place
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10.19Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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6.87Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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13.37University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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9.39Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.91Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Stang | 12.8% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gorham Partington | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 11.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 23.0% | 19.7% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lourdes Gallo | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 5.1% |
| Maks Groom | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% |
| John Eastman | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| George Higham | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 20.3% | 18.4% |
| Petru Neagu | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Carter Brock | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.0% |
| Nick Budington | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 41.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Emily Mueller | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.