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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+5.96vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.63+3.18vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.44+6.29vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+2.32vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.33+4.73vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.05+1.22vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.10+0.06vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+0.51vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.59-0.30vs Predicted
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10Harvard University0.93+1.12vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.08+2.29vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.55-3.09vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.83-5.18vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.61-2.07vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.23-11.33vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.18-6.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.96Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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5.18Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.29Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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9.73Boston College1.330.0%1st Place
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7.22Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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7.06Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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8.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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8.7Yale University1.590.0%1st Place
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11.12Harvard University0.930.0%1st Place
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13.29University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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8.91Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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7.82Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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11.93Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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3.67University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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10.29Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Higham | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Mason Stang | 12.1% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Maks Groom | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lourdes Gallo | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 5.1% |
| John Eastman | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Nick Budington | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Petru Neagu | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Gorham Partington | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 11.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 15.2% | 43.3% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.8% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 18.8% | 18.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 24.0% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Brock | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.