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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.05+6.09vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+1.65vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.06+4.05vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.63+1.30vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.44+4.31vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+0.28vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.83+0.96vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.10-1.19vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18+1.12vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.61+2.09vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.33-1.37vs Predicted
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12Harvard University0.93-0.98vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.55-4.16vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.59-5.40vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.08-1.46vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-7.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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3.65University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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7.05Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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5.3Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.31Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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7.96Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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6.81Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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10.12Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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12.09Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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9.63Boston College1.330.0%1st Place
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11.02Harvard University0.930.0%1st Place
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8.84Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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8.6Yale University1.590.1%1st Place
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13.54University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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8.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Eastman | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 24.7% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Mason Stang | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Maks Groom | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Nick Budington | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Carter Brock | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 18.9% | 19.5% |
| Lourdes Gallo | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 4.4% |
| Gorham Partington | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 12.2% |
| Jonathan Chance | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Petru Neagu | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 43.5% |
| Emily Scherer | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.