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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.33+8.52vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+1.61vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.44+6.25vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.05+3.26vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.10+1.95vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.83+1.90vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+1.75vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.59+0.61vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-2.85vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.06-2.87vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.55-2.12vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.63-6.76vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.61-1.00vs Predicted
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14Harvard University0.93-3.05vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.08-1.50vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.18-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.52Boston College1.330.0%1st Place
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3.61University of Rhode Island3.230.3%1st Place
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9.25Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.26Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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6.95Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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7.9Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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8.61Yale University1.590.0%1st Place
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6.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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7.13Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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8.88Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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5.24Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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12.0Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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10.95Harvard University0.930.0%1st Place
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13.5University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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10.3Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gallo | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 4.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 25.1% | 18.8% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| John Eastman | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Nick Budington | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Petru Neagu | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Maks Groom | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| George Higham | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Chance | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Mason Stang | 13.2% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 20.5% |
| Gorham Partington | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 12.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 15.4% | 43.8% |
| Carter Brock | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.