Race 6B

george-warren-smith

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Kerem Erkmen 24.1% 18.6% 17.3% 12.1% 8.5% 6.0% 5.1% 3.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
George Higham 7.7% 7.9% 7.5% 8.2% 8.6% 7.4% 8.5% 8.0% 7.5% 6.4% 6.3% 5.8% 4.4% 2.4% 3.0% 0.4%
Maks Groom 9.0% 8.4% 9.3% 9.8% 9.7% 10.0% 8.4% 9.2% 7.1% 6.3% 4.4% 2.7% 2.5% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4%
John Eastman 5.4% 8.7% 8.7% 7.2% 6.8% 8.0% 8.4% 7.4% 7.8% 8.1% 6.1% 6.6% 5.3% 2.9% 2.1% 0.5%
Carter Brock 2.9% 2.4% 3.2% 4.0% 4.8% 4.6% 5.2% 5.0% 6.4% 7.0% 6.9% 9.1% 9.6% 11.0% 12.0% 5.9%
Molly Hanrahan 1.7% 1.4% 1.2% 1.6% 2.8% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.4% 5.4% 6.6% 7.2% 7.7% 10.4% 17.6% 21.5%
Lourdes Gallo 3.7% 3.7% 4.2% 4.4% 4.5% 4.9% 6.0% 4.7% 7.1% 7.3% 8.4% 7.1% 9.9% 10.6% 8.3% 5.2%
Jonathan Chance 4.3% 5.5% 4.5% 6.2% 5.5% 6.5% 6.2% 7.1% 7.1% 7.9% 7.6% 8.2% 8.0% 6.7% 5.9% 2.8%
Gorham Partington 2.3% 2.8% 2.7% 2.6% 3.5% 3.7% 4.3% 4.5% 5.9% 5.7% 7.5% 8.0% 10.2% 12.3% 12.4% 11.6%
Emily Mueller 6.0% 5.8% 5.9% 5.1% 6.0% 7.9% 8.6% 8.5% 7.7% 9.6% 8.4% 5.1% 5.9% 5.7% 2.8% 1.0%
Tiare Sierra 4.4% 4.4% 3.9% 5.2% 6.4% 4.7% 4.8% 6.4% 7.1% 6.1% 8.8% 8.2% 9.1% 9.7% 6.0% 4.8%
Elizabeth Amelotte 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 1.5% 1.7% 2.0% 1.2% 3.0% 2.0% 3.9% 3.5% 4.8% 7.2% 8.1% 16.4% 41.7%
Emily Scherer 3.8% 4.9% 6.3% 5.3% 6.0% 7.3% 7.3% 5.7% 7.6% 7.3% 7.8% 9.6% 7.0% 6.6% 6.0% 1.5%
Mason Stang 12.9% 12.4% 12.6% 11.6% 11.3% 8.3% 7.5% 7.3% 5.4% 3.0% 3.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Nick Budington 7.3% 7.4% 7.0% 9.3% 7.9% 8.8% 8.6% 7.6% 6.8% 7.6% 6.5% 6.8% 4.4% 2.2% 1.5% 0.3%
Petru Neagu 3.8% 4.5% 4.6% 5.9% 6.0% 6.9% 6.4% 7.7% 8.0% 7.5% 7.2% 7.9% 7.7% 8.7% 4.8% 2.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.