Race 7B

george-warren-smith

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Kerem Erkmen 22.9% 19.7% 16.5% 11.0% 9.2% 6.8% 5.1% 4.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maks Groom 9.3% 10.0% 9.7% 9.4% 10.2% 9.0% 8.7% 7.0% 6.5% 5.3% 5.2% 4.4% 2.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Lourdes Gallo 3.9% 3.4% 3.1% 4.6% 4.4% 4.9% 6.0% 7.1% 7.2% 7.2% 7.8% 9.6% 10.3% 7.7% 8.3% 4.5%
Petru Neagu 3.3% 6.0% 5.1% 5.1% 6.0% 5.8% 6.3% 6.8% 7.9% 8.6% 8.0% 7.1% 7.6% 8.9% 4.9% 2.6%
John Eastman 6.7% 6.6% 7.6% 6.8% 10.6% 8.9% 7.7% 6.9% 6.9% 8.6% 7.1% 6.1% 5.6% 2.1% 1.7% 0.1%
Jonathan Chance 3.8% 3.3% 4.8% 6.0% 7.1% 6.3% 7.3% 6.5% 7.0% 7.5% 7.8% 7.6% 7.2% 8.2% 5.9% 3.7%
Tiare Sierra 3.8% 4.3% 4.2% 6.3% 4.1% 4.6% 6.4% 6.7% 6.6% 7.3% 7.6% 9.0% 9.4% 8.9% 6.3% 4.5%
Nick Budington 7.8% 8.0% 9.4% 7.1% 7.9% 8.0% 9.4% 8.4% 8.7% 7.4% 6.2% 3.9% 3.1% 2.3% 1.9% 0.5%
Mason Stang 12.9% 12.7% 12.7% 10.9% 9.2% 9.4% 8.3% 7.3% 4.6% 4.5% 2.7% 1.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Carter Brock 3.0% 3.9% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.8% 6.0% 4.1% 6.9% 7.8% 7.4% 9.8% 10.3% 11.3% 9.8% 6.3%
Emily Mueller 6.1% 6.0% 6.5% 6.9% 7.2% 5.9% 7.8% 8.1% 8.0% 8.0% 7.8% 7.6% 5.2% 4.4% 3.6% 0.9%
Emily Scherer 4.5% 4.6% 4.8% 6.6% 6.4% 8.5% 5.0% 7.1% 7.3% 6.5% 8.0% 6.8% 7.5% 8.4% 5.7% 2.3%
Elizabeth Amelotte 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.8% 1.7% 1.7% 3.3% 2.5% 3.8% 3.7% 4.7% 6.2% 8.4% 15.8% 42.6%
George Higham 7.2% 7.4% 7.1% 10.3% 7.8% 9.3% 7.1% 9.0% 7.6% 6.8% 5.5% 5.6% 5.5% 2.1% 1.3% 0.4%
Molly Hanrahan 2.1% 1.3% 1.6% 2.4% 1.9% 2.1% 3.4% 3.2% 4.8% 4.0% 6.8% 6.9% 8.4% 12.0% 18.5% 20.6%
Gorham Partington 1.8% 1.9% 2.7% 2.4% 3.0% 5.0% 3.8% 4.4% 5.3% 5.6% 7.7% 8.4% 9.8% 12.1% 15.1% 11.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.