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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.33+8.48vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.05+5.08vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.10+3.90vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.23-0.31vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.63+0.18vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.83+2.00vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.59+1.82vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.44+1.14vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.55-0.17vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-1.25vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-4.85vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.06-4.89vs Predicted
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13Harvard University0.93-1.96vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.61-2.02vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.18-4.65vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.08-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.48Boston College1.330.0%1st Place
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7.08Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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6.9Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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3.69University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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5.18Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.0Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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8.82Yale University1.590.0%1st Place
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9.14Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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8.83Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.1%1st Place
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6.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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7.11Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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11.04Harvard University0.930.0%1st Place
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11.98Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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10.35Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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13.49University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gallo | 2.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 4.4% |
| John Eastman | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Nick Budington | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 22.4% | 18.9% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Petru Neagu | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 2.8% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| Emily Scherer | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Maks Groom | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| George Higham | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Gorham Partington | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.8% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 16.4% | 20.3% |
| Carter Brock | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 7.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 17.0% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.