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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.10+5.52vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.05+4.83vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.83+4.68vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.23-0.50vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.59+3.35vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.06+1.06vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+1.54vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18+1.89vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.44+0.31vs Predicted
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10Harvard University0.65+1.87vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.33-1.36vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.69-3.82vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.55-4.20vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-0.55+1.10vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.08-1.42vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-9.97vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.61-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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6.83Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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7.68Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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3.5University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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8.35Yale University1.590.1%1st Place
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7.06Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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8.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.1%1st Place
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9.89Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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9.31Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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11.87Harvard University0.650.0%1st Place
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9.64Boston College1.330.0%1st Place
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8.18Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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8.8Bowdoin College1.550.1%1st Place
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15.1Bentley University-0.550.0%1st Place
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13.58University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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6.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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12.13Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Budington | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Eastman | 8.3% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 24.2% | 19.7% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Petru Neagu | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| George Higham | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emily Scherer | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Carter Brock | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Paul Kuechler | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 8.0% |
| Lourdes Gallo | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Connor Macken | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Jonathan Chance | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Archie Bolgar | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 18.5% | 50.2% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 22.9% | 22.9% |
| Maks Groom | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.