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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+4.93vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+1.44vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.05+4.03vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.44+5.17vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.83+2.69vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.61+6.34vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18+3.17vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.06-1.17vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.33+0.78vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.10-3.33vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.59-2.17vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-5.13vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.69-4.51vs Predicted
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14Harvard University0.65-1.89vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.08-1.36vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.55-7.11vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-0.55-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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3.44University of Rhode Island3.230.3%1st Place
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7.03Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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9.17Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.69Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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12.34Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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10.17Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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6.83Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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9.78Boston College1.330.0%1st Place
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6.67Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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8.83Yale University1.590.1%1st Place
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6.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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8.49Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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12.11Harvard University0.650.0%1st Place
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13.64University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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8.89Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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15.13Bentley University-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 9.6% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 26.4% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Eastman | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Emily Mueller | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 10.2% |
| Carter Brock | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| George Higham | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lourdes Gallo | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Nick Budington | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Petru Neagu | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Elliott | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Connor Macken | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Paul Kuechler | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 7.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 22.1% | 24.2% |
| Jonathan Chance | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Archie Bolgar | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 17.7% | 49.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.