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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+4.84vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.10+4.70vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.83+4.77vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.05+3.08vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.55+3.66vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+4.41vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.06-0.03vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.23-4.47vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.44+0.33vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-3.23vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.69-2.55vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.33-2.43vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.59-4.21vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.61-1.71vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.08-1.37vs Predicted
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16Harvard University0.65-3.92vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-0.55-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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6.7Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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7.77Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.08Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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8.66Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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10.41Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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6.97Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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3.53University of Rhode Island3.230.3%1st Place
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9.33Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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8.45Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.57Boston College1.330.0%1st Place
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8.79Yale University1.590.0%1st Place
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12.29Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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13.63University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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12.08Harvard University0.650.0%1st Place
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15.13Bentley University-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 10.9% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Budington | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| John Eastman | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Carter Brock | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 2.8% |
| George Higham | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 25.1% | 21.2% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Elliott | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Connor Macken | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Lourdes Gallo | 3.7% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Petru Neagu | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 8.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 23.6% | 23.4% |
| Paul Kuechler | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 8.8% |
| Archie Bolgar | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 18.2% | 49.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.