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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.10+5.65vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+1.39vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.83+4.78vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.55+4.87vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18+5.06vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.69+2.52vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-0.92vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.44+1.08vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-1.95vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.59-1.44vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.33-1.25vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.61+0.09vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.05-5.86vs Predicted
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14Harvard University0.65-1.87vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.08-1.35vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.06-8.92vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-0.55-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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3.39University of Rhode Island3.230.3%1st Place
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7.78Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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8.87Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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10.06Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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8.52Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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9.08Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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8.56Yale University1.590.0%1st Place
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9.75Boston College1.330.0%1st Place
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12.09Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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7.14Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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12.13Harvard University0.650.0%1st Place
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13.65University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
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7.08Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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15.13Bentley University-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Budington | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 25.4% | 20.9% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Chance | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Carter Brock | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Connor Macken | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Maks Groom | 9.5% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Elliott | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Petru Neagu | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Lourdes Gallo | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 7.8% |
| John Eastman | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Paul Kuechler | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 8.6% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 12.2% | 23.4% | 23.8% |
| George Higham | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Archie Bolgar | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 16.6% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.