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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+5.26vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.10+4.99vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.06+4.08vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.23-0.50vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.59+3.53vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.44+3.26vs Predicted
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7Harvard University0.65+5.04vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.69+0.25vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.05-2.08vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.83-2.01vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-4.06vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.55-2.82vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.33-3.50vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University-1.58+2.90vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.55+0.32vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.18-5.70vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.61-4.64vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont0.08-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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6.99Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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7.08Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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3.5University of Rhode Island3.230.2%1st Place
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8.53Yale University1.590.0%1st Place
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9.26Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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12.04Harvard University0.650.0%1st Place
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8.25Brown University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.92Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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7.99Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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6.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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9.18Bowdoin College1.550.0%1st Place
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9.5Boston College1.330.0%1st Place
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16.9Wesleyan University-1.580.0%1st Place
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15.32Bentley University-0.550.0%1st Place
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10.3Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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12.36Salve Regina University0.610.0%1st Place
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13.67University of Vermont0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maks Groom | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Budington | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 24.8% | 20.9% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Petru Neagu | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Paul Kuechler | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 8.6% | 2.3% |
| Connor Macken | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| John Eastman | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Mueller | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Elliott | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Chance | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Lourdes Gallo | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Dennis Law | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 16.2% | 64.2% |
| Archie Bolgar | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 35.6% | 20.5% |
| Carter Brock | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Molly Hanrahan | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 3.3% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 20.0% | 18.5% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.