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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.07+2.65vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University1.06+4.02vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.12+0.50vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+2.01vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.98-1.04vs Predicted
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6Olin College of Engineering0.52+1.68vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+1.13vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+4.04vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.57-1.53vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.56+0.53vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.14-5.01vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.81-4.96vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.93+0.30vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86-0.95vs Predicted
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15Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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6.02Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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3.5Northeastern University2.120.2%1st Place
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6.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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3.96Salve Regina University1.980.2%1st Place
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7.68Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
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12.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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7.47Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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10.53University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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5.99Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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7.04University of Vermont0.810.0%1st Place
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13.3Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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13.05University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
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11.6Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 21.1% | 18.3% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 21.8% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 17.5% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Burns | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Norman Walker | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 22.3% | 14.3% |
| Ben Palmer | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 9.4% | 3.4% |
| Lera Anders | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morris | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 23.0% | 38.5% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 25.6% | 32.5% |
| Victor Lomba | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 21.0% | 16.4% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.