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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.98+2.86vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.12+1.49vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.07+0.64vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+1.97vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University1.06+1.19vs Predicted
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6Olin College of Engineering0.52+1.68vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.57+0.43vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.14-2.01vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.56+1.47vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-1.73vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.81-4.11vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+0.23vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.93+0.29vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86-0.93vs Predicted
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15Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Salve Regina University1.980.2%1st Place
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3.49Northeastern University2.120.2%1st Place
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3.64University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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5.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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6.19Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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7.68Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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7.43Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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5.99Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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10.47University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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8.27University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
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6.89University of Vermont0.810.0%1st Place
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12.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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13.29Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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13.07University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
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11.54Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bowdler | 18.0% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 20.9% | 21.2% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 20.5% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ben Palmer | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lera Anders | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 2.7% |
| Timothy Burns | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Charles Morris | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Norman Walker | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 15.7% | 22.2% | 20.1% | 15.6% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 14.1% | 25.2% | 37.7% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 22.4% | 33.4% |
| Victor Lomba | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 17.7% | 19.5% | 18.4% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.