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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.98+2.89vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.12+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.07+0.65vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University1.06+2.10vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.81+1.86vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.14-0.03vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+4.94vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-1.92vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering0.52-1.41vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-1.71vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.57-3.44vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.56-1.38vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09-1.21vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86-0.91vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.93-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Salve Regina University1.980.2%1st Place
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3.46Northeastern University2.120.2%1st Place
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3.65University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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6.1Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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6.86University of Vermont0.810.1%1st Place
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5.97Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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11.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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6.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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7.59Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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8.29University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
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7.56Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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10.62University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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11.79Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
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13.09University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
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13.11Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bowdler | 18.4% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 21.7% | 22.2% | 15.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 20.3% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morris | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lera Anders | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Norman Walker | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 19.2% | 15.3% |
| Tyler Egeli | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Burns | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Ben Palmer | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Anne Berg | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 16.4% | 9.8% | 2.7% |
| Victor Lomba | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 19.4% | 19.6% | 11.4% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 24.5% | 33.3% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 22.2% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.