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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.98+2.73vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.07+1.46vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.12+0.44vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.14+1.67vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+0.78vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.56+3.96vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+4.39vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering0.52-0.67vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University1.06-3.18vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.81-3.40vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.57-3.79vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09-0.68vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.93-0.12vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.00-1.15vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Salve Regina University1.980.2%1st Place
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3.46University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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3.44Northeastern University2.120.2%1st Place
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5.67Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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5.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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9.96University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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11.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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7.33Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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5.82Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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6.6University of Vermont0.810.1%1st Place
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7.21Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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11.32Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
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12.88Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.000.0%1st Place
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12.55University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bowdler | 19.3% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 20.5% | 21.8% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 21.8% | 17.8% | 18.5% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lera Anders | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Norman Walker | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 9.1% |
| James Jagielski | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morris | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Victor Lomba | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 18.6% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 5.9% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 16.8% | 22.3% | 29.6% |
| Joseph Mirisola | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 17.7% | 21.7% | 28.3% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 20.6% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.