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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.76vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.40+0.77vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.73+1.79vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.19vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.59-1.24vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.44-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76U. S. Naval Academy2.6023.9%1st Place
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2.77Georgetown University2.4025.1%1st Place
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4.79Christopher Newport University0.735.0%1st Place
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2.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5724.0%1st Place
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3.76Old Dominion University1.5912.3%1st Place
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4.1George Washington University1.449.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 23.9% | 23.5% | 22.2% | 17.3% | 9.4% | 3.6% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 25.1% | 23.7% | 19.8% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 4.3% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 20.4% | 47.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 24.0% | 22.6% | 21.1% | 17.2% | 10.9% | 4.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 12.3% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 19.8% | 22.5% | 16.6% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 9.7% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 25.5% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.