← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University1.98+2.74vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.12+1.39vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont0.81+3.43vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+1.77vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University0.57+2.16vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.14-0.28vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.07-3.46vs Predicted
-
8Olin College of Engineering0.52-0.74vs Predicted
-
9Fairfield University1.06-3.15vs Predicted
-
10University of New Hampshire-0.56-0.01vs Predicted
-
11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09+0.09vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-0.27vs Predicted
-
13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.00-0.01vs Predicted
-
14Middlebury College-1.93-1.24vs Predicted
-
15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.74Salve Regina University1.980.2%1st Place
-
3.39Northeastern University2.120.2%1st Place
-
6.43University of Vermont0.810.1%1st Place
-
5.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
-
7.16Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
-
5.72Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
-
3.54University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
-
7.26Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
-
5.85Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
-
9.99University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
-
11.09Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
-
11.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
-
12.99University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.000.0%1st Place
-
12.76Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
-
12.56University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bowdler | 19.0% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 22.2% | 21.5% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morris | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 6.9% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lera Anders | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 19.8% | 19.2% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 7.5% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 1.7% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 6.2% |
| Norman Walker | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 18.9% | 20.2% | 15.4% | 9.7% |
| Joseph Mirisola | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 23.1% | 30.9% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 21.8% | 26.3% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 18.0% | 19.8% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.