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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.12+2.46vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+3.78vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.07+0.54vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.81+2.65vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.56+5.29vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University1.06+0.04vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.98-3.22vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.57-0.64vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.06+0.07vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.02-3.79vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-2.93vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09-0.31vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-0.95vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86-1.02vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.93-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46Northeastern University2.120.2%1st Place
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5.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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3.54University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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6.65University of Vermont0.810.1%1st Place
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10.29University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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6.04Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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3.78Salve Regina University1.980.2%1st Place
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7.36Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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9.07Olin College of Engineering-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.21Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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8.07University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
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11.69Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
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12.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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12.98University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
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13.05Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Priebe | 22.0% | 20.4% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 6.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Miles Williams | 20.8% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morris | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 3.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 18.6% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Karina Lamoreux | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Samantha Jensen | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Burns | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Victor Lomba | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 19.2% | 17.4% | 11.0% |
| Norman Walker | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 20.1% | 19.2% | 16.2% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 23.6% | 32.4% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 21.7% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.