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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.98+2.77vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.07+1.46vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.12+0.44vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.02+2.07vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+0.90vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.81+0.71vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+4.85vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University1.06-1.95vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.06+0.02vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.57-2.59vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-2.95vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.56-1.49vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09-1.31vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86-0.99vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.93-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77Salve Regina University1.980.2%1st Place
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3.46University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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3.44Northeastern University2.120.2%1st Place
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6.07Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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5.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Vermont0.810.0%1st Place
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11.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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6.05Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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9.02Olin College of Engineering-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.41Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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8.05University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
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10.51University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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11.69Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
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13.01University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
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13.05Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Bowdler | 18.9% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 20.9% | 22.3% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 21.7% | 17.7% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morris | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Norman Walker | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 18.2% | 15.3% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karina Lamoreux | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Ben Palmer | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Burns | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Anne Berg | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 15.2% | 9.7% | 2.7% |
| Victor Lomba | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 19.2% | 19.2% | 11.1% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 24.0% | 33.1% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 21.9% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.