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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.81+5.62vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University1.06+3.85vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.98+0.75vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.02+2.13vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.56+5.30vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.57+1.31vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.12-3.51vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.07-4.39vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.06+0.04vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-4.02vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86+2.02vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-3.75vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09-1.36vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.93-0.90vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62University of Vermont0.810.1%1st Place
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5.85Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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3.75Salve Regina University1.980.2%1st Place
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6.13Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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10.3University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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7.31Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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3.49Northeastern University2.120.2%1st Place
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3.61University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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9.04Olin College of Engineering-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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13.02University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
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8.25University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.0%1st Place
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11.64Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
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13.1Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
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11.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Morris | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 6.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 18.9% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 9.5% | 3.4% |
| Ben Palmer | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 21.4% | 19.6% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 20.8% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karina Lamoreux | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Egeli | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 23.9% | 34.0% |
| Timothy Burns | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Victor Lomba | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 20.0% | 17.2% | 11.2% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 23.0% | 35.5% |
| Norman Walker | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 21.2% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.