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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.02+4.70vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.07+1.38vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.12+0.37vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+1.59vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University1.06+0.80vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.98-2.35vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.81-0.65vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-0.56+1.78vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.06-0.44vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.57-2.94vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86+1.57vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-0.39vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09-1.86vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.00-1.20vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.93-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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3.38University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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3.37Northeastern University2.120.2%1st Place
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5.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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5.8Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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3.65Salve Regina University1.980.2%1st Place
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6.35University of Vermont0.810.1%1st Place
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9.78University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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8.56Olin College of Engineering-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.06Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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12.57University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
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11.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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11.14Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
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12.8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.000.0%1st Place
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12.65Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Jensen | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Miles Williams | 21.2% | 21.8% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 21.9% | 19.1% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 17.0% | 18.9% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morris | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Karina Lamoreux | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Ben Palmer | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 23.5% | 24.5% |
| Norman Walker | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 20.8% | 14.7% | 9.6% |
| Victor Lomba | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 7.2% |
| Joseph Mirisola | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 21.2% | 28.8% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 20.7% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.