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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.07+2.43vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.12+1.27vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University1.06+2.68vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.02+1.81vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.98-1.32vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-0.36vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.81-0.67vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.57-1.01vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.56+0.76vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86+2.59vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+0.42vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering-0.06-3.24vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.00-0.06vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09-2.98vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.93-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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3.27Northeastern University2.120.2%1st Place
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5.68Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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5.81Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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3.68Salve Regina University1.980.2%1st Place
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5.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Vermont0.810.1%1st Place
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6.99Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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9.76University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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12.59University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
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11.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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8.76Olin College of Engineering-0.060.0%1st Place
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12.94University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.000.0%1st Place
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11.02Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
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12.68Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 22.3% | 19.8% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 23.6% | 20.4% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 18.2% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 5.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morris | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Palmer | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 21.5% | 24.8% |
| Norman Walker | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 9.1% |
| Karina Lamoreux | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Mirisola | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 21.3% | 31.5% |
| Victor Lomba | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 5.8% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 15.9% | 23.6% | 27.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.