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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.02+4.77vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.12+1.26vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.98+0.61vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University1.06+1.67vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.07-1.47vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-0.34vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.56+2.74vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.57-1.00vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering-0.06-0.45vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.81-3.52vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.09+0.03vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.00+0.98vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-1.45vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.86-1.45vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.93-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77Tufts University1.020.1%1st Place
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3.26Northeastern University2.120.2%1st Place
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3.61Salve Regina University1.980.2%1st Place
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5.67Fairfield University1.060.1%1st Place
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3.53University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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5.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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9.74University of New Hampshire-0.560.0%1st Place
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7.0Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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8.55Olin College of Engineering-0.060.0%1st Place
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6.48University of Vermont0.810.1%1st Place
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11.03Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.090.0%1st Place
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12.98University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.000.0%1st Place
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11.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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12.55University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.860.0%1st Place
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12.63Middlebury College-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Jensen | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 23.1% | 22.2% | 15.9% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 18.8% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 20.3% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anne Berg | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Ben Palmer | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karina Lamoreux | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Morris | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Victor Lomba | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 7.5% |
| Joseph Mirisola | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 22.4% | 31.2% |
| Norman Walker | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 17.7% | 18.7% | 14.8% | 10.0% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 23.2% | 22.2% |
| Patrick Stevenson | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 20.1% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.