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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.16+4.18vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.89+3.76vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.79+0.72vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+3.66vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.37-0.13vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.24-2.97vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.69-0.81vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.52-1.16vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91+1.51vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.03+0.84vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+0.44vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering0.46-4.93vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-4.03vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.37-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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5.76Tufts University0.890.1%1st Place
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3.72Northeastern University1.790.2%1st Place
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7.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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4.87Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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3.03University of Rhode Island2.240.3%1st Place
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6.19Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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6.84University of Vermont0.520.1%1st Place
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10.51University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.84University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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11.44Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.07Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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8.97University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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12.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearl Lattanzi | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Everett Nash | 19.2% | 18.3% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Dillon | 9.4% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 27.7% | 21.6% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Cady | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 15.9% | 21.6% | 18.0% | 8.3% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 18.6% | 22.6% | 10.8% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 18.7% | 28.2% | 17.3% |
| Colin Snow | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Kate Myler | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Filippo Tagliavia | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 16.2% | 60.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.