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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.16+4.17vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.24+0.87vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.52+3.81vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.37+0.72vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.89+1.02vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.79-2.15vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+0.40vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91+2.37vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.69-2.48vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.03+0.79vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering0.46-3.84vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-2.94vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-1.66vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.37-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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2.87University of Rhode Island2.240.3%1st Place
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6.81University of Vermont0.520.1%1st Place
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4.72Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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6.02Tufts University0.890.1%1st Place
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3.85Northeastern University1.790.2%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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10.37University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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6.52Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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10.79University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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7.16Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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9.06University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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11.34Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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12.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearl Lattanzi | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 29.3% | 24.2% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cady | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Dillon | 11.1% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Everett Nash | 17.6% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 20.7% | 17.4% | 9.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 15.5% | 19.6% | 22.3% | 9.9% |
| Colin Snow | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Kate Myler | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 2.2% |
| Jack Eddy | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 18.2% | 28.2% | 17.0% |
| Filippo Tagliavia | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 60.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.