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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.79+2.72vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.24+0.81vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.37+1.71vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.52+2.94vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.16+0.33vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.89-0.01vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.03+3.50vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.69-1.62vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91+1.51vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering0.46-2.85vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-3.33vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.59vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-4.05vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.37-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Northeastern University1.790.2%1st Place
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2.81University of Rhode Island2.240.3%1st Place
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4.71Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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6.94University of Vermont0.520.0%1st Place
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5.33Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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5.99Tufts University0.890.1%1st Place
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10.5University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.38Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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10.51University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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7.15Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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7.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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11.41Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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8.95University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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12.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 19.0% | 18.8% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 29.0% | 24.8% | 18.1% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 12.7% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Cady | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 20.0% | 19.6% | 10.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 18.2% | 19.3% | 19.6% | 8.0% |
| Colin Snow | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 18.3% | 27.0% | 17.9% |
| Kate Myler | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| Filippo Tagliavia | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 9.1% | 17.0% | 60.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.