← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont0.52+5.82vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University1.79+1.63vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.37+1.70vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University0.89+1.98vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.24-2.05vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.16-0.70vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91+3.27vs Predicted
-
8University of New Hampshire-1.03+2.64vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.32vs Predicted
-
10Fairfield University0.69-3.46vs Predicted
-
11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+0.48vs Predicted
-
12Olin College of Engineering0.46-4.85vs Predicted
-
13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-4.04vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.37-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.82University of Vermont0.520.0%1st Place
-
3.63Northeastern University1.790.2%1st Place
-
4.7Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
-
5.98Tufts University0.890.1%1st Place
-
2.95University of Rhode Island2.240.3%1st Place
-
5.3Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
-
10.27University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
-
10.64University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
-
7.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
-
6.54Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
-
11.48Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
-
7.15Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
-
8.96University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
-
12.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Cady | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Everett Nash | 19.9% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 12.1% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 26.1% | 24.2% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 19.7% | 18.6% | 7.0% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 22.0% | 11.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 19.4% | 27.0% | 18.6% |
| Colin Snow | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Kate Myler | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 7.3% | 1.7% |
| Filippo Tagliavia | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 9.7% | 17.2% | 59.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.