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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.16+4.19vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.24+0.86vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.79+0.76vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.69+2.44vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91+5.53vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.52+1.01vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.89-1.30vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.42vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.37-4.25vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering0.46-2.84vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.03-0.18vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.58vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.37-0.15vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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2.86University of Rhode Island2.240.3%1st Place
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3.76Northeastern University1.790.2%1st Place
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6.44Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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10.53University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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7.01University of Vermont0.520.1%1st Place
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5.7Tufts University0.890.1%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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4.75Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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7.16Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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10.82University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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11.42Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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12.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.370.0%1st Place
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8.93University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearl Lattanzi | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 28.2% | 23.9% | 17.6% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Nash | 18.7% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 19.2% | 19.6% | 9.1% |
| Jack Cady | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 11.6% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Will Rudaz | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 19.7% | 24.4% | 9.6% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 19.2% | 26.1% | 17.9% |
| Filippo Tagliavia | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 15.8% | 60.7% |
| Kate Myler | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.