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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.79+2.78vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.37+2.55vs Predicted
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3Olin College of Engineering0.46+4.04vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.24-1.04vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91+5.52vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.03+4.84vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.69-0.77vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.16-2.76vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-1.31vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.52-3.07vs Predicted
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11Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+0.47vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.89-6.09vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-4.05vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.37-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78Northeastern University1.790.2%1st Place
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4.55Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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7.04Olin College of Engineering0.460.1%1st Place
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2.96University of Rhode Island2.240.3%1st Place
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10.52University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.84University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.23Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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5.24Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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7.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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6.93University of Vermont0.520.0%1st Place
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11.47Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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5.91Tufts University0.890.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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12.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 17.9% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 12.7% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Declan Botwinick | 27.0% | 22.6% | 17.6% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 15.9% | 18.3% | 21.0% | 7.8% |
| Will Rudaz | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 15.3% | 19.5% | 22.0% | 11.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 9.8% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Jack Cady | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 12.0% | 18.6% | 27.3% | 18.5% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 6.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kate Myler | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 7.6% | 1.7% |
| Filippo Tagliavia | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 59.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.