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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.24+2.01vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.37+2.74vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.79+0.84vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91+6.57vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+2.94vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.52+1.11vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.27-2.11vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering0.46-0.90vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.03+1.80vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+1.48vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.31-5.92vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.69-5.41vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.37-0.13vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01University of Rhode Island2.240.3%1st Place
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4.74Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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3.84Northeastern University1.790.2%1st Place
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10.57University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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7.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Vermont0.520.0%1st Place
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4.89Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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7.1Olin College of Engineering0.460.1%1st Place
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10.8University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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11.48Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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5.08Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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6.59Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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12.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.370.0%1st Place
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8.98University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 27.6% | 21.6% | 18.1% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 11.1% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Everett Nash | 17.3% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 19.2% | 8.6% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Jack Cady | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Marina Garrido | 10.7% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 21.7% | 19.8% | 10.9% |
| Jack Eddy | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 30.0% | 17.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Filippo Tagliavia | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 17.1% | 59.5% |
| Kate Myler | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.