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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.79+2.84vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.69+4.39vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.24-0.05vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.37+0.88vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31+0.09vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.27-0.85vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+4.24vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.03+2.71vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91+1.55vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering0.46-2.76vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.52-3.92vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-4.09vs Predicted
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13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-3.96vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.37-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Northeastern University1.790.2%1st Place
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6.39Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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2.95University of Rhode Island2.240.3%1st Place
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4.88Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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5.09Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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5.15Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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11.24Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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10.71University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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10.55University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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7.24Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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7.08University of Vermont0.520.0%1st Place
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7.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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9.04University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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12.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 17.9% | 19.4% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 29.0% | 21.1% | 16.6% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Eddy | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 27.4% | 16.7% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 18.6% | 21.4% | 11.9% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 17.4% | 21.7% | 17.9% | 8.0% |
| Colin Snow | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jack Cady | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| John Divelbiss | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Kate Myler | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 7.9% | 2.2% |
| Filippo Tagliavia | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 17.2% | 60.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.