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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.79+2.80vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-1.03+8.58vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.24-0.08vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.16+1.32vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.37-0.12vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.27-0.84vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering0.46-0.10vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.52-1.07vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.69-2.44vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91+0.58vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-1.79vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-4.10vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.37-0.11vs Predicted
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14Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Northeastern University1.790.2%1st Place
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10.58University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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2.92University of Rhode Island2.240.3%1st Place
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5.32Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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4.88Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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5.16Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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6.9Olin College of Engineering0.460.1%1st Place
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6.93University of Vermont0.520.1%1st Place
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6.56Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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10.58University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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12.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.370.0%1st Place
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11.37Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 18.6% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Rudaz | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 19.4% | 19.7% | 9.5% |
| Declan Botwinick | 29.1% | 22.1% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 7.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 9.7% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cady | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 15.5% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 9.7% |
| Kate Myler | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 2.5% |
| John Divelbiss | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Filippo Tagliavia | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 16.8% | 61.5% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 18.2% | 29.4% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.