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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.79+2.81vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.24+0.88vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.16+2.28vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.27+1.04vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.37-0.07vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91+4.61vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.69-0.71vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.37+4.84vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.52-2.00vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-2.03vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering0.46-3.84vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.53vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.03-2.28vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Northeastern University1.790.2%1st Place
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2.88University of Rhode Island2.240.3%1st Place
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5.28Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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5.04Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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4.93Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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6.29Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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12.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.370.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Vermont0.520.1%1st Place
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7.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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7.16Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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11.47Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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10.72University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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9.01University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Nash | 18.1% | 18.5% | 17.8% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Botwinick | 28.8% | 23.7% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 9.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 9.1% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 20.4% | 9.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Filippo Tagliavia | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 15.5% | 60.5% |
| Jack Cady | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Colin Snow | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 19.6% | 28.1% | 17.0% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 19.8% | 22.1% | 10.0% |
| Kate Myler | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 7.4% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.