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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.37+3.74vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.24+0.87vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+4.85vs Predicted
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4Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36+7.41vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.79-1.02vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91+4.61vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.16-1.88vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.69-1.53vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+0.08vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.27-4.88vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.52-4.00vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-1.03-1.23vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering0.46-5.94vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.37-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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2.87University of Rhode Island2.240.3%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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11.41Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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3.98Northeastern University1.790.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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5.12Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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6.47Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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9.08University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
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5.12Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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7.0University of Vermont0.520.0%1st Place
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10.77University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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7.06Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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12.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dillon | 12.0% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Declan Botwinick | 29.2% | 22.8% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 17.6% | 27.5% | 17.3% |
| Everett Nash | 14.4% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 21.1% | 18.0% | 9.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kate Myler | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 8.1% | 1.9% |
| Marina Garrido | 9.9% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cady | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 21.0% | 19.0% | 10.4% |
| Colin Snow | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Filippo Tagliavia | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 18.6% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.